Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.402557 0.444315 0.489115 0.540847 0.599049 0.662636 0.737539
2025-07-06 0.321649 0.376644 0.439841 0.518206 0.613279 0.725524 0.869019
2025-07-13 0.287568 0.350464 0.426202 0.524873 0.651120 0.808705 1.022607
2025-07-20 0.262710 0.330570 0.415423 0.530512 0.684377 0.885604 1.173035
2025-07-27 0.243290 0.314570 0.406617 0.535885 0.715465 0.960203 1.326126
2025-08-03 0.226374 0.299722 0.397149 0.538251 0.741101 1.028026 1.475304
2025-08-10 0.213035 0.288191 0.390619 0.543214 0.769661 1.101291 1.639070
2025-08-17 0.196328 0.270477 0.373767 0.531421 0.771877 1.134859 1.744294
2025-08-24 0.187089 0.262490 0.369852 0.537783 0.801159 1.211288 1.925119
2025-08-31 0.176254 0.251307 0.360274 0.534484 0.814647 1.263382 2.070565
2025-09-07 0.168006 0.243300 0.354697 0.536620 0.836467 1.330267 2.248136
2025-09-14 0.158177 0.232223 0.343609 0.528981 0.841294 1.368642 2.378473
2025-09-21 0.149593 0.222662 0.334435 0.524046 0.850724 1.416657 2.534248
2025-09-28 0.138095 0.207900 0.316172 0.502797 0.830409 1.410358 2.585966
2025-10-05 0.133494 0.203736 0.314525 0.509204 0.858831 1.494341 2.824802
2025-10-12 0.129058 0.199537 0.312483 0.514649 0.885775 1.577879 3.073248
2025-10-19 0.124902 0.195525 0.310443 0.519836 0.912492 1.663312 3.336730
2025-10-26 0.120514 0.190858 0.306972 0.522119 0.933776 1.739922 3.591064
2025-11-02 0.116870 0.187220 0.305002 0.526910 0.960139 1.829134 3.885918
2025-11-09 0.110766 0.179065 0.294713 0.515527 0.953653 1.849681 4.023375
2025-11-16 0.107900 0.176337 0.293791 0.521668 0.982710 1.948015 4.361283
2025-11-23 0.103767 0.171177 0.288224 0.518483 0.992328 2.005076 4.605121
2025-11-30 0.100678 0.167697 0.285477 0.520545 1.012951 2.088385 4.928113